By Ralph Dibugnara December 12, 2024
Boomers Have a New Retirement Problem
Published Dec 09, 2024
By Aliss Higham
Baby boomers have benefited from skyrocketing house prices over recent decades, with millions of homeowners born before 1964 watching their equity rise over recent decades. But now, thanks to a glut of unfavorable conditions in the U.S. housing market, boomers face a new retirement problem: affordable and accessible homes in which to age.
As a result, boomers are now "aging in place" in their current homes—a trend likely to induce a knock-on effect for younger generations.
According to a recent study conducted by Redfin, 78 percent of all boomers plan to stay in their current home for retirement. Another 2022 report from Redfin found that empty-nest boomers take up 28.2 percent of all "large homes"—three bedrooms or more—compared to 14.2 percent of millennials, who are much more likely to have their children still living at home.
While data isn't available indicating how much this has changed over recent years, the tradition of downsizing into smaller homes designed with retirement in mind is becoming a distant, if not completely unlikely, prospect for America's aging boomer population. While some may not want to move on from a house they've lived in for years on end, retrofitting existing homes for the sake of accessibility is a costly endeavor, particularly for older Americans living on fixed incomes.
"Baby Boomers are increasingly choosing to 'age in place,' meaning they remain in their homes longer instead of selling to downsize or relocate," New York City real estate broker Alexandra Gupta told Newsweek. "This trend is contributing directly to the housing shortage, as millions of homes that would otherwise be available to younger buyers remain occupied."
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A composite image created by "Newsweek" is shown. Boomers are aging in place, triggering a knock-on effect for other generations. Photo-illustration by Newsweek
Shortage of Accessible Homes
A lack of accessible homes required for some as they age are scarce—and a slowdown in new homes being built is a major factor. According to a report by CNBC in 2023, less than 5 percent of the U.S. housing supply is accessible.
But the problem is not just restricted to accessible homes. U.S. housing inventory and the speed at which new homes are being built have still not recovered to the levels seen before the 2008 financial crash. In January 2006, some 2.2 million new units were started. That dropped to just 490,000 in January 2009. In October 2024, 1.3 million units have been started—still nearly 1 million shy of the 2006 level.
The lack of homes for sale is a significant factor in today's high housing prices, which Ralph DiBugnara, founder and president of Home Qualified, told Newsweek is a key reason why boomers want to stay put, despite their homes likely being worth considerably more than when they bought them.
"The biggest problem I see facing homeowners today is they are equity rich, cash poor and without as many options to fix it because of high interest rates and high home prices," he told Newsweek.
"Baby Boomers are at a stage where they want to move or downsize but cannot because of the lack of homes for sale which has driven up prices. That combined with the high cost of a new home due to increased interest rates and insurance costs are keeping them locked in homes with equity. This is also a major factor in the inventory shortage problem the market is facing."
Making Homes Accessible
Fewer stairs, lifts, wider hallways, ramps and other modifications may come to be a necessity for many Americans as they grow older. And with them comes significant cost. While the size and scope of each refitting project is different, according to Thrive Homes, installing a stair lift can cost from $3,500 to $6,000. Concrete ramps can cost up to $500 per foot, and door widening could set you back as much as $2,500.
As expensive as they are, home modifications can also be considered unattractive to prospective buyers if the time comes when a move is absolutely necessary, thus potentially pushing down the price of the property. In a 2021 National Association of Home Builders survey of homebuyer attitudes, 56 percent of respondents said they would not buy a home if it had an elevator installed—a necessity for wheelchair users living in multiple-floor properties.
But other modifications such as wide hallways and step-free entries were considered desirable by the majority of those surveyed.
Knock-on Impacts
With boomers choosing to stay in place instead of buying new homes at high prices, younger generations are feeling the effects in an already squeezed housing market.
Boomers own the lion's share of U.S. housing, a trend that has broadened since the 2008 financial crash and the ebbing away of their parents in the Silent Generation. It again expanded during the coronavirus pandemic and its aftermath, with Gen X and millennials also widening their share of America's real estate market.
"Boomers' control over a large share of the housing market also has a broader economic effect," Gupta said. "Many Boomers hold substantial home equity, which has allowed them to leverage their property for wealth or to secure retirement. Younger generations, however, may struggle to build similar wealth through homeownership. As real estate remains increasingly out of reach for younger buyers, the wealth divide between Boomers and subsequent generations may widen, with homeownership becoming an even more significant driver of financial inequality."
The result, Gupta explained, is likely to keep their children—millennials and Gen Z—in the rental market for longer, and could also put some boomers back in rentals if they cannot find an affordable property to buy with the right home modifications. This could have even further ramifications in the cost of renting.
"As more Boomers age in place or choose to downsize into more accessible housing options, the rental market may see an uptick in demand for senior-friendly housing," she said. "Millennials and Gen Z, who are already delaying homeownership due to rising prices, may increasingly turn to rentals for longer periods. This could lead to rising rents, especially in desirable metropolitan areas, as younger people delay purchasing homes, further challenging their ability to save for down payments."
Solutions in Sight
While the federal government has some options on the table to ease housing woes, such as the U.S. Department of Agriculture's Rural Housing Service and special home-buying programs offered by the Department of Housing and Urban Development, Jesse Saginor, associate professor of real estate development in the University of Maryland School of Architecture, Planning and Preservation, said more needs to be done.
"One solution is to significantly increase funding, subsidies, tax credits, and/or zoning flexibility to allow for the construction of affordable senior housing so that seniors have somewhere affordable to move, given that many may only live on Social Security and little else," he told Newsweek. "So, that solution focuses on building housing for seniors that is affordable, and, assuming they are willing to move, also attainable. It removes the cost-prohibitive nature of moving to housing given their fixed incomes."
But Saginor added that "until we build for all segments of population in terms of income and age, there are bound to be shortages irrespective of mortgage rates and inflation, because the demand for housing tends to be dynamic while the supply of housing is largely static."